Municipalities
Geographical size
Human population
Number of livestock farmers
Livestock farming systems
Large carnivore species
Bear population
Wolf population
SOCIOECONOMIC CONTEXT
The Lakmos–Koziakas region is a highland socio-ecological system shaped by rugged topography, nature protection zones, and demographic pressures. Historically, local livelihoods relied on transhumant livestock breeding, small-scale agriculture, and forestry, a subsistence model that was closely linked to the natural environment.
Over recent decades, nature-based tourism has added economic diversification, though it remains seasonal and spatially uneven, offering limited income stability.
The area faces pronounced demographic decline, with outmigration and an ageing population threatening community continuity. These trends, coupled with the gradual abandonment of traditional land uses, have contributed to landscape changes. Limited Infrastructure and restricted market access further hinder economic resilience.
Since 2022, the area hosts a pilot Bear Smart Community, fostering coexistence through awareness campaigns, cultural events, and stakeholder cooperation for the development of a local coexistence strategy.
The impacts of Storm “Daniel” in September 2023 exposed the fragility of local livelihoods and infrastructure. Intense rainfall caused landslides, destroyed road networks, and temporarily isolated mountain communities, aggravating pre-existing socio-economic vulnerabilities. The effects of the storm are still being felt as they continue to undermine local livelihoods.
FARMING CONTEXT
Farming in Lakmos–Koziakas remains central, rooted in extensive grazing systems on mountainous pastures, and supplemented by small-scale cultivation. However, pastoralism has declined rapidly: in the Regional Unit of Trikala, from 2009 to 2020, cattle holdings fell by 14%, sheep by 49%, and goats by 54%.
While there are limited specific figures at village level, the wider region has reported tens of thousands of losses following “Daniel”, whereas the number of holdings has decreased even further following recent disease outbreaks (sheep-goat pox in 2025, PPR in 2024). Many holdings have since been abandoned.
Main challenges:
- Ageing farmer population, low generational renewal and outmigration.
- Predation by bears and wolves causes economic loss and emotional distress.
- Persistent dissatisfaction with ELGA’s compensation scheme.
- Economic viability and dependency on EU subsidies, threatened by subsidy scandals (e.g. OPEKEPE).
- Operational actions against sheep and goat pox (2025) and PPR (2024) endanger pastoralism.
- Extreme weather events, such as storm “Daniel”, have caused pasture degradation in the lowlands, feed loss, and damage to infrastructure, while soaring feed prices and disrupted supply chains further strain farm operations.
LOCAL CONFLICT ASSOCIATED WITH LARGE CARNIVORES
Number of attacks:
ELGA (the Greek Agricultural Insurance Organisation) is a public benefit organisation responsible for compensating for agricultural damage caused by natural phenomena, including attacks by wild animals such as wolves and bears. In 2022, ELGA recorded 58 compensation claims in the study area: 29 for bear damages and 29 for wolf damages to livestock. However, these figures underestimate the true extent of the problem, as many incidents not meeting ELGA’s eligibility criteria remain unreported, and numerous breeders dissatisfied with the compensation scheme refrain from filing claims. On the upside, a growing number of farmers are now investing in preventive measures, such as electric fencing.
Social conflict:
- Most attacks occur during grazing, though predators may enter farm facilities.
- Poison baits killing shepherd dogs, leaving flocks vulnerable.
- Subsidy scandals fuel distrust; farmers feel falsely accused.
- Sheep and goat pox is managed through lockdowns and flock removal, causing continuous stress, financial loss and uncertainty for breeders.
- Wolves preying on hunting dogs add to conflict.
- Conflict with large carnivores is pronounced, with cases of bears or wolves being deliberately killed or poisoned.
- Cases of habituated bears have been documented in the area; these animals have become largely dependent on human food sources and lost their natural fear of people. This situation fosters negative perceptions of bears, heightens public fear, and increases tensions among residents within affected villages.
These patterns indicate significant human-wildlife tensions with both ecological and socio-economic consequences.
Funded by the European Union. Views and opinions expressed are however those of the author(s) only and do not necessarily reflect those of the European Union or the European Research Executive Agency. Neither the European Union nor the granting authority can be held responsible for them.